This is an IDF 900 worded Analysis and why Beijing is claiming Ladakh. Military Commanders talked at Moldo with no traction. Chinese think long term and deception and patience are their assets as Amb Shyam Saran explains and is quoted with his permission.
IDF Analysis is that China is gambling to tire India out and ensure ‘spends big’ on Military needs as World economy totters. A concerned Premier Li Keqiang stated “the domestic and foreign environment in China remains complex and uncertain,” and urged authorities, “must insist on tightening their belts.”. Groucho Marx had said, ‘Its the economy, stupid’. Economy will impact the end state between India, China and Pakistan.
In 1991 India went broke with no FFE with defence import spending and Op Pawan and in the Oil sector, with hordes of corruption (Quatrocchi in Snamprogetti was an instance). In Op PAWAN 1400 OG souls died and no one asked for an inquiry to learn lessons. Op Pawan suffered from poor Command and Control and it seems, it is being repeated.
By joining the dots, China’s military moves in Ladakh across the Line of Actual Control from April seem planned by China’s Central Military Commission(CMC) after Home Minister on 5th August 2019 in Parliament abrogated Article 370 and declared Aksai Chin (part of Ladakh) and Pakistan Occupied Kashmir(POK) as India’s. To safeguard projects under construction in the CPEC and Aksai Chin began in China hiding its intentions in April crossed India’s LAC surreptitiously at four places.
ITBP suffered the first sting at Pangong on 5th May, but seems satellite pictures were missed while media showed gory clashes and Army Chief said it happens. Military leans on Intelligence agencies, and the China Study Group which lists Patrol Points and the two, the Home Ministry with 180 forward ITBP posts(IB embedded), and MOD with Army in the rear.
There is dual Command and Control a relic of 1961 when BM Mullik set up forward IB posts with mules he explains on page 311 to please Nehru in his memoirs My Years With Nehru. This makes reporting and reactions slow and analysis challenging like in Op Pawan when RAW was the nodal authority and military did not know it had a mole. Aims were set by Prime and Defence Minister Rajiv Gandhi and MEA. In India responsibility lies with the Cabinet and by its Control so PM is De Facto the Commander in Chief as per the Constitution, and PM Modi has shown that.
China is bent on propping up Pakistan’s defences now in POK and hastening the supply of munitions, four ships and eight submarines for Pakistan’s 50 Ship Vision with a gratis training submarine from China, and making bases at Gwadar, Ormara and Tarbat near Jiwani next to Iran’s Chahbahar. Turkey is supplying Milgem OPVs. Pakistan’s new map including POK, with Gilgit and Baltistan as a province of Pakistan awaits November elections as Pak Army moves in. Pakistan is the centre of gravity to and needs to be throttled for the end game, before China becomes a resident.
. EAM Jaishankar in, ‘The India Way’ quotes Zhuge Liang, “The wise win before the fight, while the ignorant fight to win”. Chinese Staff Colleges teach Sun Tzu’s Art of War(544-496BC) as the philosophy of war, and Zhuge (181-234) as Principles for War. Sun Tzu and the chicanery of Chinese strategist Zhuge Liang’s thirty six stratagems need study
Chinese are called Kiasu people as it means they dread losing (face) in any situation, even in sports, so the Stratagems by Zhuge Liang are a collection of tactics like proverbs to win, described as “gems that speak to the cores of Chinese society.” Chinese children learn them like nursery rhymes or Indians learn lessons from the Mahabharata, Gita and Ramayan.
Sinologist John Barka writes, “ they are taught in school, in literature, in folk opera and even in television programs as part of the collective unconscious of most Chinese people and the military”. Sinologist Ambassador Shyam Saran in a lecture in 2012 in memory of K Subrahmanyam, describes one of Zhuge’s action of deception, and how he deceived an intruding force to flee. Shyam Saran writes, “What is required from our strategists and diplomats is to understand this important instrument (deception)in the Chinese strategic tool-box and learn to deal with it effectively. Perhaps we should take to heart Zhuge Liang’s advice and enter the mind of our Chinese interlocutor to judge his mental and psychological construct.”
Few selected Zhuge’s stratagems are listed. Parenthesis are by this writer to ponder over.
1) Cross the Sea(LAC) by Deceiving the Sky: (EXERCISE IN TIBET), but hide your true intentions.
2) Besiege Wei (SHYLOK PASSAGE) to Rescue Zhao(AKSAI—G-219). Attack their Achilles heel.(GALWAN DEPSANG and PANGONG where Chinese built a road Finger 8 to 4 from 1999).
3) Relax and Wait for the Adversary to Tire Himself Out (MILITARY TALKS). Exhaust enemy and wear them down(SPENDING).
4) Loot a Burning House: (COVID RAGING).
5) Pretend to Advance Down One Path While Taking Another to get what you really want.(AKSAI CHIN & CPEC & SUPPORT PAKISTAN)
7) Conceal a Dagger in a Smile. (XI JINPING’s 18 MEETINGS and HUGS WITH PM MODI).
In conclusion.India will need a partner or partners (QUAD Plus) to face the China-Pakistan nexus. 36 Strategems of Zhuge Liang and the Chinese word KAISU are on Wikipedia this link. A lend-lease charter with the US will bolster India’s maritime security” is live on South Asia Monitor (SAM).
Link: https://southasiamonitor.org/spotlight/lend-lease-charter-us-will-bolster-indias-maritime-security
Links for Command and Control.
https://youtu.be/6j5Dthr7PAI Hindi
https://youtu.be/WZXDagpqxUw Command & Control hindi
And a gem for today by Groucho Marx for oldies. A man is as old as the woman he feels. Shan No Varuna.
I may need your help. I tried many ways but couldn’t solve it, but after reading your article, I think you have a way to help me. I’m looking forward for your reply. Thanks.
drug abuse psychosis [url= https://blogs.uoregon.edu/testingpermissions/sample-page/comment-page-1/ ] methadone australia [/url] herbal menopause remedy
prednisone 5mg capsules: https://prednisone1st.store/# where can i buy prednisone online without a prescription
japanese dating: singles ads – find international singles dating
can i purchase mobic without insurance: where to buy cheap mobic without dr prescription – can you buy generic mobic without a prescription
Everything about medicine.
ampicillin amoxicillin amoxicillin 500mg pill – price for amoxicillin 875 mg
Learn about the side effects, dosages, and interactions.
best pills for ed: compare ed drugs – ed medications online
canadian pharmacies that deliver to the us canadian pharmacy sarasota
certified canadian pharmacy certified canadian pharmacy
where to buy cheap mobic pills [url=https://mobic.store/#]can i buy mobic without a prescription[/url] cheap mobic without insurance
https://pharmacyreview.best/# canadian pharmacy 1 internet online drugstore
best rated canadian pharmacy pharmacy wholesalers canada
price for amoxicillin 875 mg: https://amoxicillins.com/# amoxicillin 500mg cost
cost of mobic for sale [url=https://mobic.store/#]where to get cheap mobic pills[/url] can i get generic mobic without a prescription
Definitive journal of drugs and therapeutics.
amoxicillin capsules 250mg where can i get amoxicillin – amoxicillin 500
Prescription Drug Information, Interactions & Side.
get generic propecia without dr prescription cost of cheap propecia no prescription
can i get mobic pills [url=https://mobic.store/#]can i buy mobic without insurance[/url] where buy generic mobic without prescription
mobic cheap: buying mobic without rx – generic mobic
new ed treatments: ed drugs – generic ed pills
ed pills online: male ed drugs – best erection pills
amoxicillin 500 mg brand name: https://amoxicillins.com/# amoxicillin 500mg over the counter
cure ed: non prescription ed pills – impotence pills
amoxicillin online no prescription: [url=https://amoxicillins.com/#]rexall pharmacy amoxicillin 500mg[/url] can we buy amoxcillin 500mg on ebay without prescription
amoxicillin without rx: http://amoxicillins.com/# amoxicillin 500mg capsules
canadian neighbor pharmacy canadian pharmacy in canada
Everything what you want to know about pills.
top rated ed pills: best ed pills at gnc – best pill for ed
Get here.
can you get cheap mobic online [url=https://mobic.store/#]cost of generic mobic no prescription[/url] how to buy cheap mobic pill
my canadian pharmacy the canadian drugstore
https://cheapestedpills.com/# ed medication online
amoxicillin pills 500 mg: [url=https://amoxicillins.com/#]amoxicillin 500[/url] amoxicillin over the counter in canada
canadian pharmacies compare: precription drugs from canada – canadian drug pharmacy
https://indiamedicine.world/# cheapest online pharmacy india
purple pharmacy mexico price list: buying from online mexican pharmacy – mexican mail order pharmacies
http://certifiedcanadapharm.store/# canadian pharmacy king reviews
buying prescription drugs in mexico: mexico drug stores pharmacies – mexico drug stores pharmacies
https://indiamedicine.world/# india pharmacy mail order
ed meds online canada: canadian pharmacy cheap – best online canadian pharmacy
canada drugs online reviews: canadian pharmacy king reviews – canada pharmacy 24h
https://indiamedicine.world/# cheapest online pharmacy india
https://mexpharmacy.sbs/# medicine in mexico pharmacies
mexican online pharmacies prescription drugs: mexican border pharmacies shipping to usa – mexican pharmaceuticals online
top online pharmacy india: world pharmacy india – india online pharmacy
https://indiamedicine.world/# Online medicine order
best canadian pharmacy online: canadapharmacyonline – best canadian pharmacy
medication from mexico pharmacy: purple pharmacy mexico price list – purple pharmacy mexico price list
http://indiamedicine.world/# world pharmacy india
http://indiamedicine.world/# india online pharmacy
online shopping pharmacy india: Online medicine home delivery – Online medicine home delivery
best online pharmacies in mexico: mexican border pharmacies shipping to usa – mexican rx online
http://indiamedicine.world/# pharmacy website india
http://indiamedicine.world/# online shopping pharmacy india
top online pharmacy india: canadian pharmacy india – world pharmacy india
online canadian pharmacy: maple leaf pharmacy in canada – northwest canadian pharmacy
https://mexpharmacy.sbs/# mexico drug stores pharmacies
http://gabapentin.pro/# buy gabapentin online
neurontin generic: neurontin 300 mg caps – brand name neurontin price
ivermectin purchase [url=http://stromectolonline.pro/#]п»їivermectin pills[/url] ivermectin 50 mg
https://gabapentin.pro/# neurontin cream
http://azithromycin.men/# can i buy zithromax online
neurontin 4000 mg: neurontin 400 mg price – neurontin 600 mg coupon
http://azithromycin.men/# buy zithromax online fast shipping
where to buy zithromax in canada [url=http://azithromycin.men/#]zithromax generic price[/url] zithromax online paypal
neurontin pfizer: generic neurontin 300 mg – neurontin 800 mg pill
https://gabapentin.pro/# neurontin 400 mg price
Over the counter antibiotics for infection: buy antibiotics from canada – get antibiotics without seeing a doctor
http://antibiotic.guru/# over the counter antibiotics
Over the counter antibiotics pills: buy antibiotics online – get antibiotics without seeing a doctor
treatments for ed: online ed pills – ed medications online
http://ed-pills.men/# new ed drugs
http://lisinopril.pro/# purchase lisinopril 40 mg
https://avodart.pro/# can i get avodart without insurance
http://lipitor.pro/# generic lipitor price
https://lisinopril.pro/# zestril 5mg price in india
lipitor 10 mg tablet [url=http://lipitor.pro/#]buy lipitor 10 mg[/url] lipitor 40 mg price in india
https://avodart.pro/# how to get generic avodart without prescription
https://lisinopril.pro/# lisinopril 20mg prices
https://misoprostol.guru/# purchase cytotec
http://misoprostol.guru/# buy cytotec pills
where to get cheap avodart without rx [url=http://avodart.pro/#]how can i get generic avodart without dr prescription[/url] where buy cheap avodart prices
http://misoprostol.guru/# buy cytotec online fast delivery
http://ciprofloxacin.ink/# buy cipro
https://ciprofloxacin.ink/# buy cipro online
Misoprostol 200 mg buy online [url=https://misoprostol.guru/#]Abortion pills online[/url] cytotec abortion pill
https://misoprostol.guru/# buy cytotec in usa
pharmacy canadian superstore: maple leaf pharmacy in canada – pharmacy canadian
mexican pharmaceuticals online: mexican mail order pharmacies – medicine in mexico pharmacies
http://mexicanpharmacy.guru/# mexico pharmacies prescription drugs
canadian pharmacy scam [url=http://certifiedcanadapills.pro/#]canadian online drugs[/url] canadian drugs
reputable canadian online pharmacy: canadian pharmacy reviews – best canadian pharmacy online
50$ to the account of new players Play the best casino and win the jackpot! [url=http://50bonus.site]50 Bonus[/url]
You can definitely see your enthusiasm in the work you write.
The arena hopes for more passionate writers such as you who aren’t
afraid to say how they believe. All the time follow your heart.
A person necessarily lend a hand to make significantly articles I’d state.
That is the very first time I frequented your website page and so far?
I surprised with the research you made to create this particular put up extraordinary.
Wonderful job!
This piece of writing is truly a good one it assists new net viewers, who are wishing in favor
of blogging.
I’m not that much of a internet reader to be honest but your
blogs really nice, keep it up! I’ll go ahead and bookmark your site to come back in the future.
Many thanks
Great post.
I am regular visitor, how are you everybody? This post posted at this web site is really pleasant.
best india pharmacy: Online pharmacy India – indian pharmacy paypal
the canadian pharmacy: canadian pharmacy online – legit canadian online pharmacy
After looking over a handful of the blog posts on your website, I seriously appreciate
your technique of blogging. I bookmarked it to my bookmark site list and will be checking back soon. Take a look at my web site as well and tell me your opinion.
legal to buy prescriptions from canada
india pharmacy mail order: indian pharmacy online – mail order pharmacy india
п»їlegitimate online pharmacies india: reputable indian pharmacies – pharmacy website india
world pharm com [url=https://interpharm.pro/#]buy medications online no prescription[/url] prescription canada