CDS-NSA & CHIEFS MUST SCRIPT A STRATEGIC “THREAT ASSESSEMENT” UNLESS NSA’s NSS(BY DPC) HAS DOME IT TO REFORM & JIG PROCUREMENTS FOR THEATRES’s -JOINT FIRE POWER-SYNERGY& CYBER—FM MANEKSHAW’S-74 DSSC LECTURE & GEN KRISHNARAO’S 1975 ARMY REFORM MAY HELP—CERTAINLY NOT MEDIA BYTES!

This is IDF’s 13th Analysis as the world is  battling the deadly Pandemic-Covid-19 in ‘Locked Downs’, and the weak and old in deaths. Future strategic equations with an unstable Pakistan active in Kashmir, Nepal and China pinpricking India and USA & China locked in a Cold War of blame, are unpredictable in this chaos. Most economies except China and USA stand battered. It is India’s crisis to face. China’s CPP leadership is under fire for the handling of COVID.

PM Modi has been steering India with RSS’ nationalism policies. 40 Ministers out of 54 are reportedly RSS. PM has opted an  IFS EAM Jay Shankar to take his load of Foreign Affairs and needs expert inputs, especially to revive economy to meet India’s potential. .

  India’s Security Establishment needs to turn this crisis into an opportunity like the Chinese are attempting under great pressure, with 140 nations wanting to tame and investigate China’s role. A crisis can be as an opportunity.

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CHINA NEEDS PAKISTAN TO GAIN BASES IN IOR & RISE ON THE WORLD STAGE—THAT IS WHY USA WANTS INDIA IN THE QUAD– FORMER PENTAGON OFFICIAL– ‘PAKISTAN IS CHINA’S COLONIAL VASSAL’ –YET USA IS NOT SANCTIONING PAKISTAN ! CHAKAR YEY HAI !

HT MEDIA REPORT ON 6TH May, “Pakistan joined hands with neighbouring China after America’s growing relationship with India. “

Michael Rubin, Ex Pentagon, “With souring relationship with Washington and growing business and strategic ties with Beijing, Pakistan is leading nothing more than a colony of China.” Over 15000 Chinese in POK claims Rubin !

In IDF’s 13th COVID19 Analysis it shines the light on the Indian Ocean Region(IOR) where India is the military power in the region, but has an unrelenting perennial enemy in Pakistan under Military control. If not controlled soon, it will be too late.

As India gets stronger, Pakistan is turning more to China to keep its coffers going, and continues to plague India with terror, especially when India is fighting COVID. Ramzan ends on 11th commemorating the victory of Badr, and 24 Chinese MBT Tanks are arriving Pakistan in a freighter, Prasun reported.

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IDF TABLES SNR ADVOCATE SALVE’s CASE —WHAT INDIA CAN AND CANNOT DO TO PAKISTAN IN CDR JADHAV’S CASE & THE LIMITATIONS OF THE INTERNATIONAL COURT OF JUSTICE(ICJ) & LINKS IT TO THE MANY CLAIMS/BACK LASH ON CHINA INCLUDING TRUMP’S FOR SPREADING COVID-19——IN 1160 WORDS

This is an IDF Analysis about Naval Cdr Kulbhuhsan Jadhav, in the custody of Pakistan on death row, based on awareness how Intelligence operates, and a Legal Primer Utube by brilliant Senior Advocate Harish Salve, explaining Jadhav’s live case by joining dots from the media. Prasun Sengupta who followed www.indiadefenceforum.com posts on Cdr Jadhav has collated.

 Jadhav stands accused by Pakistan as a RAW spy working in Baluchistan while he owned Kanmida Trading in the Chabahar Free Trade Zone where India has a berth, and plied a 3,500-tonne dhow between Kandla and Bandar Abbas. Jadhav’s passport bore an Iranian residency permit for the Chabahar free trade zone. He was likely kidnapped by Pakistan along the border (or at sea, as his boat not found), a version that the MEA’s statement of March 29th  endorses.

In April 2016 a can of worms opened between India and Pakistan when Media and Parliament were shocked by the death sentence awarded to an innocent Ex Cdr Jadhav as Government stated, after a General Court Martial (FGCM). Pakistan Army apprehended him and had told media before Indian High Commission in Islamabad. This contradicts Vienna convention, that IDF learnt in Singapore which is not a Signatory to the Convention but agrees to abide by its conventions on a case by case basis. It is like India does not wish to sign the Nuclear Proliferation Teaty(NPT) but agrees to follow its clauses.

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UNSC—WHO–G20 & UN ARE GROUNDED IN UNCHARTED COVID WATERS– ECONOMIES ARE SINKING WITH LOW OIL PRICES & BANKRUPTCIES— TRUMP SEEKING A REPUBLICAN WIN WISHES TO PUNISH THE WORLD’S INVESTMENT & MANUFACTURING HUB– ‘CULPRIT CHINA’—XI/CCP ARE STRUGGLING TO RETAIN POWER –BORIS’s WORRY IS BREXIT & HUAWEI & $ 25 BILLION CHINESE INVESTMENT –BJP’ WISHES TO DETHRONE NON BJP STATES—COVID WILL NOT STOP POLITICS !

This is IDF’s 11th COVID-19 analysis a Politics will still rage. The fight to control the ravages of COVID will run side by side in every country. BJP   politicked in MP in early days of COVID. Co-operation is difficult in any democracy, but more in a less educated democracy with poverty, lacking social security. In such nations politics is big money too, scripted in devious legal ways, Eg. Electoral Bonds and unregulated elections.

 IDF as a Navigator, says this with conviction, as Harvard/ Columbia   educated Franklin Delano Roosevelt son of a US President Theodore (ex Secretary of the Navy), was one of USA’s Greatest Presidents!(1933-45). He navigated USA out of the 1938 Depression with a New Deal, to provide relief, recovery, and reform, and won World War II for USA which was followed up with a Marshall Plan in 1948 to take USA to heights. Franklin, a paralytic wheel chaired   President, believed, “In politics nothing happens by accident. If it happens you can bet it was planned.” IDF adds, “Despite Love between Husband and Wife, lurks politics.” In friendships, politics lurk ! India saw that with an Advani and a Vajpayee. It needs a close look. Education is important to lead. All this is food for thought.

India cannot be immune to politics, as HM Shah is India’s COVID Policy War Room Coordinator. NK Singh a wealthy flamboyant old time bureaucrat now a diehard BJP aged 80, is crafting a New Deal. He could not complete Finance Commission report for 2020 for two years in this Computer Age. Was it politics ? Some states are crying for GST refunds.

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IDF SALUTE TO COMMODORE CHAMAN LAL SACHDEVA VSM —ONE MORE GREAT OAK WHO CONTRIBUTED TO THE FINE INDIAN NAVY FROM ITS ROOTS BREATHED HIS LAST IN LOCK DOWN—REST IN PEACE SIR-RIP ………..MAIN CONTRIBUTION BY Rear Admiral Stanley O’Leary (Alan), son of a Naval Officer who knew the Commodore well.

The ravages of old age takes toll of  great oak trees too,  but not before they have grown tall and stood firm. Commodore Chaman Lal Sachdeva (1930-2020) aged 90 was that,  who with others contributed to the building of what is today, India’s fine Navy. He was one of the  pioneer UK trained officers soon after Independence in 1948, having joined at 18. He  lived life, serving  the Navy’s  Ensign in India and abroad  and married Sunita in 1959, a couple that we all got to know well,  as they steered the retired Navy Foundation to heights.

Chaman  strived with self less  devotion  for  the retired Naval  Foundation fraternity using his Naval thirty years and eight  years experience working as one of Shaw Wallace’s head after an amazing naval career, being one of the those who inculcated  traditions of Hard work, Integrity and Hard Play  in those who served under him ! His ship Udaygiri won laurels mentioned below. .

Cmde Sachdeva handed over the Foundation to Vice Admiral SK Chand former Vice Chief  who has contributed to this piece and he and his wife Pushpa became friends of Sachdevas for life ! And they were also members of an amazing group of lively ‘Ladies’ known as Disha, who help each other, meet for book reviews and travel together, with their hubbies!.

 Chaman was born on 6th  Jan 1930 in Dera Ghazi Khan, now in Pakistan and late Surg Cdr Tarun Prakash who was  the Doctor shipmate of IDF on INS Vindhyagiri used to relate how their parents were close friends and hence a lifelong close relationship  ensued between the Tarun and Capt  Dr Gita Prakash Ex AMC, his wife. They met in AFMC. Sadly Tarun an ENT succumbed  to Parkinson’ under Gita’s loving care few years ago, who now is at MAX and known as Defence Colony’s ‘Night Angel’  to the poor, she treats selflessly in the evenings.

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CORONA LEAKED FROM P4 WUHAN LAB ? HAS ‘STUMPED’ THE WORLD CURRENTLY RUNNING ON VIRTUAL NETWORKS—TRUMP & OTHERS DESIRE MONETARY & PUNITIVE ACTIONS AGAINST CHINA—IDF TABLES SCENARIOS IF CPP OR XI JINPING ARE THREATENED OR WILL INTERNAL CHANGES TAKE PLACE IN CHINA’S LEADERSHIP ? ITS RMA FOR SURE !

CORONA LEAKED FROM P4 WUHAN LAB ? HAS ‘STUMPED’ THE WORLD CURRENTLY RUNNING ON VIRTUAL NETWORKS—TRUMP & OTHERS DESIRE MONETARY & PUNITIVE ACTIONS AGAINST CHINA—IDF TABLES SCENARIOS IF CPP OR XI JINPING ARE THREATENED OR WILL INTERNAL CHANGES TAKE PLACE IN CHINA’S LEADERSHIP ? ITS RMA FOR SURE !

-If Severely Threatened Revisionist China May Retaliate & Disrupt Selective Internet & Under Water Cables & Satellites Called ‘Cyber War’—That Means Mayhem ! China Has A Built A Firewall To Insulate Itself !

This is IDF’s 10th Covid-19 military analysis. It postulates three likely scenarios as Carona which means a ‘ring around the moon’, is still raging on.

The first is, over time Carona will be brought under control and resurface as a dangerous but combatable Flu, and life and economies may gradually bounce back—–as Israel markets the vaccine under final trials. China will gain as USA will lose economically. In the end game a two power world, like Stalin, Churchill and Roosevelt charted, may make G20 less relevant to G2 is IDF’s scenario as a US Admiral had suggested. Nations will have to look inward as USA stops immigration. In any eventuality the militaries will have changed with a Revolution in Military Affairs(RMA).

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THE USA-CHINA COLD WAR IS CURENTLY A VIRTUAL WAR BUT COULD TURN HOT BECAUSE THE WUHAN LEAKED BAT COVID-19 PANDEMIC CRISIS WITH DESPERATE CHINESE EYES ON TAIWAN MAY SEE THIS AS CHINA’S OPPORTUNITY OR COULD COVID BECOME CHINA’S NEMISIS ??—- IN TWO PARTS 800 WORDS EACH

China Has Dug investments Into India’s Virtual Economy—China Owns Many of Italy’s fashion and other industries and Forayed Into  Belt & Road Initiative and The ‘Hug a Chinese for New Year ’ Gave Italy COVID Worst— China Owns Strategic Piraeus Port and Greece With Bail Outs —China’s PLA ’s Dragon Navy Terrorises Taiwan Vietnam & Indonesia— Philippine’s President Duerte Has Given Up South China Sea UNCLOS Dispute and Broken With USA —China Has Arrested And Quelled Up Rising In Hong Kong —A Cold Virtual War With USA Has Heightened Over Huawei. The World Is Looking Unstable to IDF With Possible Power Shifts.

This is IDF’s 9th COVID analysis how China is taking advantage of the un-abating worldwide pandemic, that is wreaking havoc on lives, and economies. Intelligence indicators very plausibly show the (synthetic) Bat Virus linked by Scientists, spread from Wuhan Laboratory’s Military Virology P4 section. China covered the guilt, as from Wuhan’s Market or US troops. SEE IDF Posting on 12th April for the trail.

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A SPECIAL FREE TRADE ZONE(SEZ) WITH FDI/OIL TANKS FOR SHIPPING/ DUTY FREE SHOPS/OFF SHORE BANKING & TOURISM IN FORGETTEN & UNDER DEVELOPED ANDMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS CAN BE INDIA’S GOLD MINE & SILVER SECURITY BULLET IN THE CURRENT CRISIS & SLOW DOWN —- NEAR CHINA’S MALACCA DILEMMA

Ram Buxani Of Dubai & Hari Leila Of Hong Kong & Investors Offered To Help With $ 1.5 Billion investment in A&N islands — It Was Considered But Ruled Out As IMF  Bailed India Out In 1991—See Last Post.

This is IDF’s 8th Analysis on COVID-19 on how PMO may like to revive an old Andaman SEZ/FTZ investment plan and take advantage of the COVID-19 crisis and avert World Bank Prediction on India’s 1.9% growth, released by M/s Gita Gopinath. PM Narasimha Rao and PM Dr Manmohan Singh saved India in 1991 ! PM Modi is resolute. He is the leader who with “out of the box”, thinking can turn this crisis around and has formed a Bi Partisan Committee.

Markets move on sentiments……India needs sentiment, as investors have pulled out from India and Indian Funds relied on them. Investors can be tempted to come back. BJP Government slept to move on COVID-19, as Shekhar Gupta in Print laments all in BJP were busy working to dethrone Kamal Nath in Madhya Pradesh.

 IDF, was taught Defence Economics (Thesis —Defence Spending Can Be A Bucking Horse) in RN Staff College and asked a young M/s Gita Gopinath at an IDSA Conference, what is the quantum of Black Money in percentage terms of India’s GDP. She replied, “ We (economists) do not study this, as statistical Data is not available. We need official statistics”. Gita born on 8TH December 1971 knew my son or of his family born 1972, who like Gita studied Economics hence my courage, to ask a stupid question.

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LESSONS IN CORONA DAYS —-IDF POSTS THE PARAPHRASED HISTORIC OCTOBER-91 TELEGRAM FROM DA OFFICE IN SINGAPORE BY SHRI MONTEK AHLUWALIA ON FM Dr MM SINGH’s BEHALF TO PM RAO ON THE DIRE NEED FOR AN IMF BRIDGING LOAN WITH PROMISES TO REFORM TO AVERT ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF INDIA ! FULL TELEGRAM ATTACHED ! FEW GOOD MEN AVERTED INDIA GOING DOWN IN 1991—PM MODI IS THE MAN TO REPEAT IT IN THIS CRISIS WITH FEW GOOD MEN– INDIA NEVER LACKS !

From 1985-1992 India’s South & North Block Witnessed Momentous Times–Rise Of An IA Pilot Rajiv Gandhi With Majority–Sonia Gandhi As In Durbar(Tavleen)–Bofors Backfiring–Op Pawan Took Tolls & Brasstacks–Chequer Board Neared War–Brass Board Cancelled–Corruption & Rampant Imports Oil, Pipeline Contracts & Defence–FM VP Singh Baulked –India Went Broke To Zero Dollars ! COVID Has Created Similar & Other Stresses !

This is an IDF COVID 7 Opportunity Analysis recalling 1991 to postulate how India can emerge stronger after, ‘Corona Virus Laden Days’. ‘Every crisis is an opportunity’, and, ‘A few Good Men With Courage, Is The Answer” ! India has them !

India has a resolute Leader in PM N Damodardas, (367th name of ‘Vishnu in Sahasranama) Modi. Always dapper. gabby PM is an outstanding orator in chaste Hindi, that South Indians struggle with. PM Modi has done exceedingly well for India on the World Stage and for India’s Military’s Power. Internally, he has steered well, but more on BJP RSS agenda. If PM introspects, he may find the ‘Course Correction’, that is needed as the Captain to face the stormy Frankensteinian Days. A Wuhan Frankenstein may have made a new Killer Synthetic Corona ‘A’ Virus, as B and C are HIV curable ! SEE LAST IDF POST.

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IDF ANALYSIS OF ‘EPOCH TIMES’ EXPOSÉ DEPICTING COVID-19 WAS MORE ‘A NEGLIGENT HUMAN LEAK’ OF THE SYNTHETIC VIRUS FROM WUHAN’S P4 MILITARY LAB THAT CHINA DENIED TO GUARD CCP & XI IN POWER WITH CHINA’S SECRECY & INFORMATION WARFARE(IW) MACHINE & SUPPRESSED ALL –COVID WILL INFECT GENERATIONS IF IT IS A VIRULENT MAN MADE VIRUS AS ANTIDOTES & VACCINES WILL BE CAHLLENGING

This is a Prasun Sengupta alerted, 5th IDF COVID-19 ‘Non India’ IDF Analysis based on World, Bloomberg and Chinese media and more from Epoch Times known for information on China as Chinese from China,  pass and send messages, or travel from China with facts, that Epoch analyses. In 6th IDF and Prasun will Analyse the law suits filed against China for damages in trillions even by the Bar Association of India with unspecified amount, with iputs from Oxford Lawyers.  

IDF does not vouch for the video. Make your judgments, if COVID-19 is man made, which it looks like from Wuhan’s Military Management Virology Bio-Warfare Institute P 4 (funded by French PM Raffarin and designed by RTV but PLA completed it in 2017 and ousted the French). Was it leaked by Design or Human Error that Militaries know well happens with machines and weapons….but see the Video you should, as Indian TV is entertainment centric …devoid of Analysis except WION ! GOI’s DD has to be careful on content, as it is bureaucratic funded by the Government in power. Private Radio is not allowed Current Affairs, Sports or News ! Chinese or Pakistan Tv is not allowed in India but widely available on Internet and U Tube. Indians are missing education on especially on Sports on Private Radio which even Communist Countries have in dedicated channels ! IDF is an AIR/DD accredited Sports commentator without Employment despite Art 21 of the Constitution.

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