NAVY NEEDS TO SHOUT FOR MORE PLATFORMS APPROVED BY DAC AND REQUEST FOR A NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY TO ASSUAGE ASEAN LEADERS SECURITY CONCERNS—–IN A WHITE PAPER ?

Ranjit B Rai

India’s oratorical & confidence oozing  Prime Minister Narendra Modi well hosted the 10 ASEAN  seasoned leaders who have a tougher job than him leading their countries combined 1.8 bill people with $ 2.9 Trill economies. The ‘show sha’ and RD parade was outstanding as India is now rich to splurge money, but where & what was the substance is the question, IDF grapples with.

ASEAN   sees India not able to solve its poverty and now divisiveness as Padmavat was raging, experience  changes in policy and is unable to display  a strategy to deal with China and Pakistan, or reduce red tape. They worry.

Their concerns  will never come out in the open and Indian MEDIA REPORTED THEY FEEL INDIA IS NOT DOING MUCH FOR MARITIME SECURITY TO MATCH CHINA. This is only partly true as they look for stability more than a India China slanging match as China sustains their economy and business is inter twined. China has a clear cut policy to re-ascend the world and is the richer that USA or EU.

ASEAN know the 21st Century is   poised to be a Maritime Century and the litmus test of how India performs to protect its maritime interests and those of its  friendly ASEAN and Indian Ocean Region (IOR) nations as the Net Security Provider of the latter, is dependent on how India steers and peaceful balance  in the China-India power play in the Indo-Pacific. ASEAN wants to see India solve its problems  especially border with China and Pakistan and keep the peace. Continue reading

CDR JADHAV UPDATE—PROPOGANDA & AND SPECULATION WHETHER HE IS A BUSINESSMAN WILL BE ADJUCATED BY ICJ ON EVIDENCE BUT AFTER ACCESS AS IN ARTICLE 36(1)(C) OF THE VIENNA CONVENTION ON CONSULAR RELATIONS

Ranjit B Rai 

In April 2017 IDF never imagined the case of 47 year old Cdr Kulbhushan Yogesh Jadhav picked up by ​Pakistan from Iran  (As a Baluch evidenced  on CNN news on 4th Dec, 2018)  would become a national issue and posted an Intelligence analysis on 14th April, 2017 about this technical Naval Officer Ex  NDA (1987)  in sympathy,  as Pakistan’s ISI is an Anti India Weapon of propaganda and terror against India of the military of Pakistan in power, and Pakistan’s Dirty Tricks Department. Every Intelligence Agency  has one, but deny it. 

Intelligence oldest profession with prostitution has three stages.  Espionage ( Legally  by Diplomats) by  any one who accepts risk as a national duty. Next    Subversion needs resources  and last Sabotage  by trained specialists.  Cdr Jadhav is accused single handedly of all that, and Counselor access denied and no friendly country nominated to do the needful as ISI will twist the issues as they are now  issuing propaganda videos on his wife and mother’s visitation as his confession to them.  Iran who hosted Jadhav is silent. Two  developments caught IDF’S interest. 

1. On 23rd Dec,2017 in  Indian Express’s Edit page Newsweek Editor Khaleed Ahmed wrote, “Some say it is going to be a case of exchange of spies. India caught Md  Habib Zahir, the retired Colonel of the Pakistan Army who disappeared from Lumbini near Nepal’s border with India and is suspected to be Indian custody”.   Continue reading

HINDUTVA & TEMPLE ELECTION JOSTLES IN 2018-19 & INDIA’S KNOWN–UN KNOWN ECONOMY WILL DICTATE MOD/MEA’s ACTIONS TO MEET CHINA & PAKISTAN AS USA MAKES INDIA ITS EASTERN STAR PIVOT IN A COLD WAR WITH QUAD SUPPORTING

Ranjit B Rai

IDF wishes readers a ‘Belated Happy Healthy New Year’, as Uranus (Arun) races to Aires( Mesh Rashiphal) and the Chinese move to the year of the Dog.

 IDF  re-iterates the accepted  triangle  that,  ECONOMY  provides  RESOURCES FOR HARD POWER for  a nation’s military,  and GEOGRAPHY and its POPULATION’s appetite  marks   its acceptability for International business  partnerships and economic   growth,  respectively.  Money makes the Mayor run as they say !

Second rule for 2018-19  is Military means alone never  solved a political problem like  Kashmir (PDP-BJP)  and Pakistan’s terrorism. Learn from history  our fine Indian Army. Remember Op  Pawan Gen Sundarji promised and we lost 1400 souls as history re-winds and even Pakistan’s military in power  is faltering. Regional security is going to be key for India’s progress.

 

IDF turns to India’s advantageous Geography. India’s  neighbours Pakistan, Maldives, Bangla Desh, Sri Lanka  all maritime states and critical border state Nepal going into 2018-19  have links and dependency on  China. They  are being  bought,  as their economies are poor. President  Trump is bent on stopping that with India and wants to stop aid to Pakistan to please India. Trump will demand a  pound of flesh,  and he is impetuous. Expect surprises !   Continue reading

THE STRATEGIC SCENARIO IN THE INDO- PACIFIC IS IN NAVY DAIRY-2018 WITH SURVEYS BY UDAY ON IOR – SHASHANK & ALAM (RUSI) ON JAPAN & PAKISTAN & PRASUN ON IRAN AND AUTHOR ON CHINA’s MARITIME AMBITIONS

THE FUTURE & MODERN INDIAN NAVY –NAVY DAIRY 2018 –Forwards by Navy and CG Admirals. Variety Book Depot and Bahri Booksellers Delhi Rs 200. Bulk 30% discount for Services and institustions. Kotah House Rs 100/-

Economy makes the mayor run,  and China’s economy is five times India and the nation has risen, all people can read, cry and sing in one language in competition with nationalism spurred by President Xi Jinping’s China Dream. 

India has got  wrapped in unhealthy politics of religion and grab for power, at the expense of Governance. But India has maritime geography, massive capable youth  if trained and democracy and friends all over the world and needs to take advantage with a strategy, which India lacks.  Continue reading

MRS SITHARAMAN LAUNCHED INDIA’S SECOND NUCLEAR SUBMARINE AT SBC VISHAKAPATNAM AND NAVY’S SUBMARINE ARM CELEBRATED ITS GOLDEN JUBLIEE

Ranjit B Rai

Indian Navy’s submarine arm  celebrated 50 years  of Golden service to the nation  on 8th December,  commemorating the  date in  1967 when  India’s first Foxtrot  class submarine  INS  Kalvari, was commissioned at Vladivostok. Concurrently,   Navy’s  first of six modern Scorpene class  silent killer submarines (SSK)   to be named   INS Kalvari, was handed over to  the Navy by the builders Mazagon Docks at Mumbai with French SM-39 under water launched missiles, advanced Subtics  computer control,   and fitted with German SUT-B (interim)  torpedoes.  The crew is awaiting  commissioning,   possibly by the Prime Minister,  but a Submarine Day commissioning was missed.

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BZ NAVY MDSL & DCNS — PM COMMISSIONED KALVARI ON 14TH DEC KNOWN ONLY AS “TO COME TO MUMBAI BASIS” – MEDIA SHOULD NOT HAVE DRAGGED NAVY IN TO POLITCS BUT “SMELL THE COFFEE” –AN ANALYSIS

IDF  asks

“ There was only,  need to know “The Date of INS Kalvari Commissioning invite and Chief Guest name was kept in wraps for  14th Dec  an  important Unclassified Non Nuke Submarine Event. It Was Telecast Live On DD on 14th And Navy & MDSL  Made All Arrangements as Ordered”. Bravo Zulu.

The commissioning was done by  PM Modi donning a Navy Brass Cap CNS Admiral Sunil Lanba gave him  after campaigning in Gujarat, and he went back to Gujarat to cast his vote. IAF flew hin in minutes. This to media  came out as a  political move of chess –if so , why drag in the Navy into this. Indians are argumentative and national security is critical so Indians will have to get used to how the BJP-Hindutva Government has decided to work. Results will take time to emerge.

Smell the coffee of the times.  Navy obeyed the order and did a good job to assemble all those MoD thought fit and we are lucky we have such an  obedient, responsive  and capable Armed forces.

IDF congratulates those involved and wishes INS Kalvari Fair Seas, Stern winds and Safe diving. Sam  No Varunah. Continue reading

INDIA’S FIRST MILITARY LITFEST WAS A GRAND SUCCESS THANKS TO PUNJAB GOVERNOR HON’BLE VPS BADNORE , CM CAPT AMARINDER SINGH & FM MANPREET SINGH BADAL’s TOUCHES & THEIR KNOWLEDGEABLE ATTENDANCE !

Ranjit B Rai

The state and the people of Punjab have always considered themselves to be    the guardian of India’s  challenging land borders with Pakistan and have invariably supported the Indian Army  with the maximum entry of officers and jawans in service of the nation. It is with that in mind that former Member of Parliament Governor of Punjab Hon’ble Shri VP Singh Badore educated at Mayo College Ajmer mooted the idea to host India’s first Military Literature  Festival (Milfest-5-9 Dec 2017) in  the Union Territory of Chandigarh he administers and IDF salutes his thought.

The idea was taken forward by the  Doon School educated Hon’ble Capt Amarinder Singh the Chief Minister of Punjab,  author of seven war books and Finance Minister  Manpreet Singh Badal both from Doon School and authorities on military subjects in their  own rights.  Lt Gen TS Shergill  was made the Adviser to Milfest and meticulous planning began  to make it world class,  and Guardsman Lt Gen Surinder Singh GOC-in-C Western Command with his resources and enthusiasm and Punjab Government rose to the occasion. A long list of speakers was chosen and five from abroad for three concurrent sessions daily on the sprawling Lake View Club next to the picturesque Sukhna lake. Continue reading

PAK ARMY CHIEF BRIEFS BRASS ON ‘MILITARY DIPLOMACY’AFTER GEN MATTIS VISIT- PAK NAVY LAUNCHES 600 TON PATROL CORVETTE- IT’S NO FAILED STATE OR IS IT ?

IDF finds many in Indian media write without research in how Pakistan works,  and TV especially Republic and Times Now invite Pakistani guests on their shows and belittle them and the word ‘bloody’ has been uttered at each other by ex service media experts, the cue taken from PM  vacate to bloody well POK and stop CPEC which the Army sees as a strategic and economic need to ward India, damn the debt like india did with the Soviet Union in Rupee Rouble trade and Soviet Union evengave us oil from Iraq. We forget.

COAS Gen Qamar Javed Bajwa chairs 206th Corps Commanders Conference. ─ Photo courtesy ISPR

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A SALUTE TO THE INDIAN NAVY ON NAVY DAY 4TH DECEMBER –WISHING ALL IN THE NAVY HAPPY NAVY DAY

Ranjit B Rai on IDF www.indiadefenceforum.com

The Navy is 65,000-strong and is commanded by Admiral Sunil Lanba (Specialist Navigator) and has three Commands–Eastern
(Vishakapatnam), Western (Mumbai) and Southern Command (CochinTraining command).  The Navy has two major Dockyards at Mumbai and Vishakapatnam and new ones coming up at Karwar (Phase II) and Rambhilli South of Vishakapatnam (Varsha-Submarines). There is one Tri-Service Command for the Andaman & Nicobar Islands.  Navy is the main component.  IAF assets are at Nicobar.

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SINGAPORE PLANNED ITS MARITIME FOREIGN POLICY FOR STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP WITH INDIA AND ECONOMIC TRUCK WITH CHINA—PLANNING HAS PAID OFF –CREDIT INDIAN NAVY ON NAVY DAY 4TH DEC ???

Ranjit B Rai 

Singapore’s Deputy PM Teo Chee Hen Ex Harvard & former CNS of the Republic of Singapore Navy and ex Defence/ Finance and Education Minister,   a close confidant of world’s longest serving PM of a democratic nation the  brilliant PM Lee Kuan Yew,  always told all visiting Admirals and Navy DAs, “ A benign  in Strategic Understanding between nations is the key to balanced trade and Defence exchanges”. 

 Navy never forgot that,  and forged SIMBEX and has played 17 unbroken very advanced Simbexes even in South  China Sea under China’s nose and got Army to keep Singapore’s  light AMX India sold as second hand tanks,  and personnel at Ahmednagar on Indian soil even when non aligned. 

Defence Minister Nirmala Sitharaman with Singapore Defence Minister Ng Eng Hens. Photo courtesy: Defence Ministry

Singapore  signed  agreements with  IAF to  use and exercise at Kalaikunda and showed IAF what its F-16s can do, well aware PAF has F-16s. Singapore has no air or land space and used Taiwan but was diversifying and needed India. Naval DAs and High Commissioners in Singapore played up, against a reluctant MEA.   

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